讲座：通过实验设计检测中国的观众成本

Assessing Domestic Audience Costs in China Using Survey Experiments

通过实验设计检测中国的观众成本

主讲嘉宾(Guest Speaker): Xiaojun LI, Ph.D. (李晓隽博士),Assistant Professor in the Department of Political Science and Faculty Associate in the Institute of Asian Research at the University of British Columbia. 李晓隽，加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚大学（UBC）政治学系助理教授，加拿大不列颠哥伦比亚大学亚洲研究院研究员

主持人(Moderator):白永辉教授(Jean-Marc F. Blanchard),BETVLCTOR伟德唯一官网院长助理和教授;跨国公司研究中心执行主任(Shanghai Jiaotong University, School of International and Public Affairs Assistant Dean and Professor; Executive Director, Center for the Study of Multinational Corporations)

时间(time)：2014年06月13日（Friday/周五)下午10点30分至12点钟

地点(location)：新建楼3005大会议室

主讲人简介(Bio):During the 2014-2015 academic year, Dr. Li will be a Princeton-Harvard China and the World fellow at Harvard University’s Fairbank Center for Chinese Studies.  His research interests are in international and comparative political economy with a focus on China.  His research has appeared inAsian Survey,Chinese Journal of International Politics,Foreign Policy Analysisas well as various edited volumes.  He has received grants and awards from such organizations as the National Science Foundation, the American Political Science Association, the International Studies Association, the Association of Chinese Political Studies, the Chiang Ching-Kuo Foundation, and the Chinese Ministry of Education.  A native of Shanghai, China, Dr. Li holds a Ph.D. in political science from Stanford University, an M.A in political science and an M.S. in statistics from the University of Georgia.

2014-2015年李教授会担任哈佛大学费正清中国研究中心访问学者。斯坦福大学政治学博士，乔治亚大学政治学和统计学双硕士。主要研究领域包括：国际政治经济学、比较政治经济学和中国问题研究。在《亚洲调查》（Asian Survey）、《中国国际政治杂志》（Chinese Journal of International Politics）、《外交政策分析》（Foreign Policy Analysis）等SSCI杂志发表论文多篇。

讲座内容简介(Abstract):Recent work based on experiments find micro-evidence of domestic audience costs in the United States: respondents are more likely to disapprove of leaders who back down after making threats, compared to leaders who made no threat in the first place.  Do audience costs exist in China?  Are members of domestic audiences in U.S. on average more likely to value credibility or competence than audiences in China?  In this study, we examine these questions by conducting a survey experiment in China.

最新的基于实验设计的研究对观众成本这一概念提供了实证支持：美国的受访者对作出公开承诺却未付诸实践的领导人的评价低于没有作出公开承诺的领导人。中国是否也存在类似的观众成本？如果有，中国的观众成本相对于美国而言更高还是更低？本文试以实验设计为方法探讨这些问题。